MAJOR CORRECTION (2022-07-17): The below analysis incorrectly computed the CSV totals for each of the 3 counties. I had an indexing error into my CSV file list and erroneously computed the 2020 totals from the CSV’s. I have since updated and recomputed all of the VHL and CSV results, and have additionally added a check …
Read more “Distribution of VHL Entries for selected VA Localities”
I finally had some time to put this together. For additional background information, see here, here and here. As a reminder and summary, according to the published methods in the USAID funded National Academy of Sciences paper (here) that I based this work off of, an ideal “fair” election should look like one or two …
During the 2021 election I archived multiple versions of the Statewide Daily Absentee List (DAL) files as produced by the VA Department of Elections (ELECT). As the name implies, the DAL files are a daily produced official product from ELECT that accumulates data representing the state of absentee votes over the course of the election. …
Read more “Vanishing Voter ID’s in sequential 2021 DAL files”
Note: there has been an update and follow up to this entry that you can read here: https://wwrkds.net/wp2/updates-on-the-in-person-early-vote-records-added-after-the-close-of-early-voting-in-va-2021/ BLUF: There were 4632 In-Person Early Vote records inserted into the Daily Absentee List (DAL) records after the close of early voting in VA in 2021. There is no plausible explanation as to why these records should …
Read more “In-Person Early Vote records added after the close of Early Voting in VA 2021”
There’s a (IMO frivolous) lawsuit by Mark Elias (here) against the USPO that is causing people to think that there are > 300K outstanding mail-in ballots in VA. According to the VA Dept of Elections data, this is just factually incorrect. There are not 300K outstanding absentee ballots floating around. There is < 100K as …
Read more “The 300K VA Ballots Outstanding and At-Risk Claim is Incorrect.”
I have been working with a number of different groups for GOTV efforts for the 2021 VA Election, as as such I have been archiving and trending the Daily Absentee List (DAL) data files for a while now. One curious case that I’d love to get somebody at VA ELECT to explain, is why the …
Read more “GALAX CITY “Marked +/or Pre-Processed” Vote Tally Decreases … why?”
Adding on to my previous report (old version is here). Fixed a few typos and formatting issues. Added some discussion about the fact that the VA DOE did correct the turnout statistic error I found, but did not make any sort of statement or explanation as to why the error was there in the first …
I got asked a question earlier this evening as to how the current 2021 VA election early vote/absentee data was shaping up in comparison to the 2020, so I did some quick processing and plotting of the Daily Absentee List (DAL) from just after the 2020 election (11-09-2020), and the current DAL as of today …
Read more “Comparison of 2020 and 2021 Absentee Breakouts in VA”
Per request by a reviewer of my most recent election irregularities report in VA (here), here’s a little more technical detail as to how the “ideal” model is computed in accordance with the original 2012 National Academy of Sciences paper that I based this work off of. The generalized summary in my report for VA …
Read more “More Details on “Ideal” Fingerprint Computations”
Finally. This has been a long time in the making, but here is my summarized report on the most significant VA 2020 General Election irregularities that I’ve discovered. All of this information is presented in detail in previous posts on this site, as well as cataloging many other issues, but I’ve collected the major points …