Vanishing Voter ID’s in sequential 2021 DAL files

During the 2021 election I archived multiple versions of the Statewide Daily Absentee List (DAL) files as produced by the VA Department of Elections (ELECT). As the name implies, the DAL files are a daily produced official product from ELECT that accumulates data representing the state of absentee votes over the course of the election. …

In-Person Early Vote records added after the close of Early Voting in VA 2021

Note: there has been an update and follow up to this entry that you can read here: https://wwrkds.net/wp2/updates-on-the-in-person-early-vote-records-added-after-the-close-of-early-voting-in-va-2021/ BLUF: There were 4632 In-Person Early Vote records inserted into the Daily Absentee List (DAL) records after the close of early voting in VA in 2021. There is no plausible explanation as to why these records should …

The 300K VA Ballots Outstanding and At-Risk Claim is Incorrect.

There’s a (IMO frivolous) lawsuit by Mark Elias (here) against the USPO that is causing people to think that there are > 300K outstanding mail-in ballots in VA. According to the VA Dept of Elections data, this is just factually incorrect. There are not 300K outstanding absentee ballots floating around. There is < 100K as …

GALAX CITY “Marked +/or Pre-Processed” Vote Tally Decreases … why?

I have been working with a number of different groups for GOTV efforts for the 2021 VA Election, as as such I have been archiving and trending the Daily Absentee List (DAL) data files for a while now. One curious case that I’d love to get somebody at VA ELECT to explain, is why the …

VA 2020 Election Analysis Report (v5)

Adding on to my previous report (old version is here). Fixed a few typos and formatting issues. Added some discussion about the fact that the VA DOE did correct the turnout statistic error I found, but did not make any sort of statement or explanation as to why the error was there in the first …

Comparison of 2020 and 2021 Absentee Breakouts in VA

I got asked a question earlier this evening as to how the current 2021 VA election early vote/absentee data was shaping up in comparison to the 2020, so I did some quick processing and plotting of the Daily Absentee List (DAL) from just after the 2020 election (11-09-2020), and the current DAL as of today …

More Details on “Ideal” Fingerprint Computations

Per request by a reviewer of my most recent election irregularities report in VA (here), here’s a little more technical detail as to how the “ideal” model is computed in accordance with the original 2012 National Academy of Sciences paper that I based this work off of. The generalized summary in my report for VA …

VA 2020 Election Analysis Report

Finally. This has been a long time in the making, but here is my summarized report on the most significant VA 2020 General Election irregularities that I’ve discovered. All of this information is presented in detail in previous posts on this site, as well as cataloging many other issues, but I’ve collected the major points …

NH 2020 Election Fingerprint

Background: The US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) published a paper in 2012 titled “Statistical detection of systematic election irregularities.” [1]  The paper asked the question, “How can it be distinguished whether an election outcome represents the will of the people or the will of the counters?” The study reviewed the results from elections in …

Dallas, TX Election Fingerprint

Election Fingerprint for Dallas, TX polling places – All Vote Types: Conclusions: The results have a rotated and elongated orientation, and looks like a number of distinct “hot-spots” within the larger cluster. Vote share near or over 100% is highly irregular and indicates a strong potential for fraud in any election. In the image above, …