Manassas City, VA : Mismatch between 2021 Absentee Counts and Machine Tape Records

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, programming, technicalPosted on One Comment

By law in VA copies of the return sheets and machine tapes, or “Statement of Results” (SOR), from tabulation machines are public record and must be made available for 60 days after the election. (see VA 24.2-658) A grassroots team of a number of volunteers (coordinated through Virginia First Audits) made a concerted effort to collect …

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Prince William County, VA : Mismatch between 2021 Absentee Counts and Machine Tape Records

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, programming, technicalPosted on 3 Comments

By law in VA copies of the return sheets and machine tapes, or Statement of Results (SOR), from tabulation machines are public record and must be made available for 60 days after the election. (see VA 24.2-658) A grassroots team of a number of volunteers (coordinated through Virginia First Audits) made a concerted effort to …

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Compiled per precinct data for VA 2020 and 2021

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, programming, technicalPosted on One Comment

Below I’ve linked copies of newly compiled sets of VA 2020 President and 2021 Governor November General Election data for anybody who is interested. The data set is compiled from only official VA Dept of Elections data sources including the General Election CSV files, the turnout CSV files, and the Daily Absentee List for each …

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VHL, RVL and DAL metrics for VA 2021 and (2020) General Elections

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, programming, technicalPosted on One Comment

As I now have available the Registered Voter List (RVL), the Voter History List (VHL) and the completed Daily Absentee List (DAL) files for the 2020 and 2021 VA November General elections, I did some basic metrics computations on these files for those that are interested. The Voter History and Registered Voter List files used …

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In-Person Early Vote records added after the close of Early Voting in VA 2021

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technical, UncategorizedPosted on 2 Comments

Note: there has been an update and follow up to this entry that you can read here: https://wwrkds.net/wp2/updates-on-the-in-person-early-vote-records-added-after-the-close-of-early-voting-in-va-2021/ BLUF: There were 4632 In-Person Early Vote records inserted into the Daily Absentee List (DAL) records after the close of early voting in VA in 2021. There is no plausible explanation as to why these records should …

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The 300K VA Ballots Outstanding and At-Risk Claim is Incorrect.

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

There’s a (IMO frivolous) lawsuit by Mark Elias (here) against the USPO that is causing people to think that there are > 300K outstanding mail-in ballots in VA. According to the VA Dept of Elections data, this is just factually incorrect. There are not 300K outstanding absentee ballots floating around. There is < 100K as …

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GALAX CITY “Marked +/or Pre-Processed” Vote Tally Decreases … why?

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

I have been working with a number of different groups for GOTV efforts for the 2021 VA Election, as as such I have been archiving and trending the Daily Absentee List (DAL) data files for a while now. One curious case that I’d love to get somebody at VA ELECT to explain, is why the …

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VA 2020 Election Analysis Report (v5)

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on 2 Comments

Adding on to my previous report (old version is here). Fixed a few typos and formatting issues. Added some discussion about the fact that the VA DOE did correct the turnout statistic error I found, but did not make any sort of statement or explanation as to why the error was there in the first …

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Comparison of 2020 and 2021 Absentee Breakouts in VA

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

I got asked a question earlier this evening as to how the current 2021 VA election early vote/absentee data was shaping up in comparison to the 2020, so I did some quick processing and plotting of the Daily Absentee List (DAL) from just after the 2020 election (11-09-2020), and the current DAL as of today …

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More Details on “Ideal” Fingerprint Computations

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

Per request by a reviewer of my most recent election irregularities report in VA (here), here’s a little more technical detail as to how the “ideal” model is computed in accordance with the original 2012 National Academy of Sciences paper that I based this work off of. The generalized summary in my report for VA …

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