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Computing the VA 2020 Daily Absentee Ballot List Rejection Rate and Other Stats

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

Adding onto the work I’ve already done looking at the VA Daily Absentee List I wanted to compute the rejection rate for absentee ballots and some other basic statistics just from the Daily Absentee Ballot List (DAL) produced by VA Dept of Elections. (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/candidatepac-info/client-services/) Keep in mind I’ve already been able to show: There were …

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Another VA Daily Absentee List Discrepancy

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on One Comment

Looking further into the VA Daily Absentee List there were 166 “valid” counted absentee ballots that had the application receipt date greater than the ballot receipt date, and 1,797,901 ballots where the application and ballot receipt dates were equal. An absentee application needs to be received and validated, then an absentee ballot needs to be …

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VA Election Changelog Data

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on No Comments

My first pass at looking at the data was to simply plot the cumulative changes for Biden and Trump. Blue is Biden, red is Trump below. This is just simply summing the non-NaN entries in the ‘TotalVotes’ column associated with when the ‘BallotName’ column contains either ‘Trump’ or ‘Biden’. More to come. Just a cursory …

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Election Fingerprints Latest Results

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on 3 Comments

Updated 19:17 2021-08-03 See also my post on “excess” absentee votes in VA here. I’m going to keep my previous blog page Statistical Detection of Election Irregularities:2020 updated with the Nitty-Gritty details of processing these fingerprints. This page I’m just going to post the latest results that I have for each state, and let the …

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Statistical Detection of Election Irregularities:2020

by wwrkdsElection Data Analysis, Election Forensics, Election Integrity, Ginsu Science, Interesting, programming, technicalPosted on 2 Comments

Updated 19:17 2021-08-03 See also my post on “excess” absentee votes in VA here. Note: that I’ve made a new blog post that is just the latest results by state and doesn’t have the play-by-play commentary. I’ll still update this blog with the technical details, but if you just want the latest results see here. …

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